Friday, October 15, 2010

Election 2010: Dueling Forecasts

***The information contained in this post may be updated or corrected as warranted***

Here it is, the second part of my massive 2010 election guide. (The first part listed every race in the country and highlighted any races that bore watching, adding in the Cook Partisan Voting Index of each state and district, as well as pertinent information, in the case of endangered Democrats at least, about the candidate's length of incumbency and voting record on certain bills.) That, as it turned out, may have been the easy part!

I always wondered why nobody ever bothered to compare the election forecast models of the top forecasters side-by-side. Now I know: way too much work! Hopefully, someone else will find this interesting, or else I guess I will have wasted my time. I hope to update this list from time to time between now and the election.

As I stated in my last post, I am not a non-partisan observer here. I look forward to watching as many Democrats as humanly possible swept away by a giant GOP tidal wave on Election Day!

Anyhow, what follows is a comprehensive list of every House race, Senate race and Governor's race in the country that appear as anything less than "safe" for the incumbent party on any of the following lists:

Cook - The Cook Political Report


CQ - CQ Politics

  • CQ - House (Last checked 10/14)
  • CQ - Senate (Last checked 10/14)
  • NOTE: No recent enough update to Governor's races to be of any use here.

RCP - Real Clear Politics


Rothenberg - The Rothenberg Political Report


Sabato - Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball


Silver - Nate Silver/FiveThirtyEight


Key:

  • SR - Safe Republican (only turnovers are listed)
  • LKR - Likely Republican
  • LnR - Leans Republican
  • TU - Toss Up
  • LnD - Leans Democrat
  • LKD - Likely Democrat
  • SD - Safe Democrat (only turnovers are listed)

NOTE: Nate Silver uses a method by which he computes the chance of a seat going to one candidate or another. To translate his percentages, I used the following formula:

  • 50-50.9% = Toss-Up
  • 60-79.9% = Lean
  • 80-99.8% = Likely
  • 99.9-100% = Safe

THE LIST:

DEMOCRAT SEATS:

U.S. SENATE (19):

  • Cook - 13
  • CQ - 13
  • RCP - 15
  • Rothenberg -13
  • Sabato - 13
  • Silver - 15

Total Seats Listed: 16


AR (Lincoln)
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LKR
  • RCP - SR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

CA (Boxer)
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

CO (Bennet)
  • Cook -TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LnR

CT (OPEN - Dodd)
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

DE (OPEN-Kaufman)
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LKD
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD

IL (OPEN-Burris)
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

IN (OPEN-Bayh)
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

MD (Mikulski)
  • Silver - LKD

NV (Reid)
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

NY (Gillibrand)
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

ND (OPEN-Dorgan)
  • Cook - SR
  • CQ - SR
  • RCP - SR
  • Rothenberg - SR
  • Sabato - SR
  • Silver - SR

OR (Wyden)
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

PA (OPEN-Specter)
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

WA (Murray)
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnD

WV (OPEN-Goodwin)
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

WI (Feingold)
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR


U.S. HOUSE (256):

  • Cook - 115
  • CQ - 101
  • RCP - 130
  • Rothenberg - 88
  • Sabato - 99
  • Silver - 122

Total Seats Listed: 132


AL-02 (Bright) R+16
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

AZ-01 (Kirkpatrick) R+6
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

AZ-05 (Mitchell) R+5
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

AZ-07 (Grijalva) D+6
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

AZ-08 (Giffords) R+4
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

AR-01 (OPEN-Berry) R+8
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

AR-02 (OPEN- Snyder) R+5
  • Cook - LKR
  • CQ - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

AR-04 (Ross) R+7
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

CA-11 (McNerney) R+1
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

CA-18 (Cardoza) D+4
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

CA-20 (Costa) D+5
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - TU
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

CA-47 (Loretta Sanchez) D+4
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

CO-03 (Salazar) R+5
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

CO-04 (Markey) R+6
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

CO-07 (Perlmutter) D+4
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

CT-01 (Larson) D+13
  • RCP - LKD

CT-02 (Courtney) D+6
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

CT-04 (Himes) D+5
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

CT-05 (C. Murphy) D+2
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LnD

FL-02 (Boyd) R+6
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

FL-08 (Grayson) R+2
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

FL-22 (Klein) D+1
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

FL-24 (Kosmas) R+4
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

GA-02 (S. Bishop) D+1
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LnD

GA-08 (Marshall) R+10
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

GA-12 (Barrow) D+1
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LKD

ID-01 (Minnick) R+18
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnD

IL-08 (Bean) R+1
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

IL-11 (Halvorson) R+1
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

IL-14 (Foster) R+1
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

IL-17 (Hare) D+3
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - TU

IN-02 (Donnelly) R+2
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LnD

IN-08 (OPEN-Ellsworth) R+8
  • Cook - LKR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

IN-09 (Hill) R+6
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

IA-01 (Braley) D+5
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

IA-02 (Loebsack) D+7
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

IA-03 (Boswell) D+1
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

KS-03 (OPEN-Moore) R+3
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LKR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

KY-03 (Yarmuth) D+2
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

KY-06 (Chandler) R+9
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

LA-03 (OPEN-Melancon) R+12
  • Cook - LKR
  • CQ - SR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

ME-01 (Pingree) D+8
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

ME-02 (Michaud) D+3
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

MD-01 (Kratovil) R+13
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

MA-04 (Frank) D+14
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LKD

MA-05 (Tsongas) D+8
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

MA-06 (Tierney) D+7
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

MA-10 (OPEN-Delahunt) D+5
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LnD

MI-01 (OPEN-Stupak) R+3
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

MI-07 (Schauer) R+2
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

MI--09 (Peters) D+2
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LnD

MI-15 (Dingell) D+13
  • RCP - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

MN-01 (Walz) R+1
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

MN-07 (Peterson) R+5
  • Silver - LKD

MN-08 (Oberstar) D+3
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LKD
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

MS-01 (Childers) R+14
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

MS-02 (Thompson) D+12
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

MS-04 (Taylor) R+20
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LnD

MO-03 (Carnahan) D+7
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

MO-04 (Skelton) R+14
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - TU

NV-03 (Titus) D+2
  • Cook -TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

NH-01 (Shea-Porter) EVEN
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

NH-02 (OPEN-Hodes) D+3
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LnR

NJ-03 (Adler) R+1
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnD

NJ-06 (Pallone) D+8
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

NJ-12 (Holt) D+5
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

NM-01 (Heinrich) D+5
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

NM-02 (Teague) R+6
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LnR

NM-03 (Lujan) D+7
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

NY-01 (T. Bishop) EVEN
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

NY-02 (Israel) D+4
  • RCP - LKD

NY-04 (McCarthy) D+6
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LKD

NY-13 (McMahon) R+4
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

NY-19 (Hall) R+3
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

NY-20 (S. Murphy) R+2
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LnD

NY-22 (Hinchey) D+6
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

NY-23 (Owens) R+1
  • Cook -TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

NY-24 (Arcuri) R+2
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

NY-25 (Maffei) D+3
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

NY-27 (Higgins) D+4
  • RCP - LKD

NY-29 (VACANT-Massa) R+5
  • Cook - LKR
  • CQ - SR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

NC-02 (Etheridge) R+2
  • Cook - LnD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

NC-04 (Price) D+8
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

NC-07 (McIntyre) R+5
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - TU

NC-08 (Kissell) R+2
  • Cook -TU
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - TU

NC-11 (Shuler) R+6
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - TU
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LnD

ND-AL (Pomeroy) R+10
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

OH-01 (Driehaus) D+1
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

OH-06 (Wilson) R+2
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LnD

OH-09 (Kaptur) D+10
  • Silver - LKD

OH-10 (Kucinich) D+8
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

OH-13 (Sutton) D+5
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

OH-15 (Kilroy) D+1
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

OH-16 (Boccieri) R+4
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

OH-18 (Space) R+7
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnD

OK-02 (Boren) R+14
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

OR-01 (Wu) D+8
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

OR-04 (DeFazio) D+2
  • RCP - LKD

OR-05 (Schrader) D+1
  • Cook -TU
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LnD

PA-03 (Dahlkemper) R+3
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

PA-04 (Altmire) R+6
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

PA-07 (OPEN-Sestak) D+3
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

PA-08 (P. Murphy) D+2
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LnR

PA-10 (Carney) R+8
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LKR

PA-11 (Kanjorski) D+4
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

PA-12 (Critz) R+1
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - TU

PA-13 (Schwartz) D+7
  • RCP - LKD

PA-17 (Holden) R+6
  • Cook - LKD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

RI-01 (OPEN-Kennedy) D+13
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

SC-05 (Spratt) R+7
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

SD-AL (Herseth-Sandlin) R+9
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

TN-04 (Davis) R+13
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - TU

TN-05 (Cooper) D+3
  • RCP - LKD

TN-06 (OPEN-Gordon) R+13
  • Cook - LKR
  • CQ - SR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

TN-08 (OPEN-Tanner) R+6
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

TX-17 (Edwards) R+20
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

TX-23 (Rodriguez) R+4
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnD

TX-25 (Doggett) D+6
  • RCP - LKD

TX-27 (Ortiz) R+2
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

UT-02 (Matheson) R+15
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

VA-02 (Nye) R+5
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LnR

VA-05 (Perriello) R+5
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

VA-09 (Boucher) R+11
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LnD

VA-11 (Connolly) D+2
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

WA-02 (Larsen) D+3
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LnD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LnD

WA-03 (OPEN-Baird) EVEN
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

WA-09 (Smith) D+5
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

WV-01 (OPEN-Mollohan) R+9
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

WV-03 (Rahall) R+6
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

WI-03 (Kind) D+4
  • Cook -LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

WI-07 (OPEN-Obey) D+3
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LnR

WI-08 (Kagen) R+2
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR


GOVERNORS (19):

  • Cook - 17
  • RCP - 19
  • Rothenberg - 17
  • Sabato - 19
  • Silver - 19

Total Seats Listed: 19


AR (Beebe)
  • RCP - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

CO (OPEN-Ritter)
  • Cook - LKD
  • RCP - LKD
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

IL (Quinn)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LnR

IA (Culver)
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

KS (OPEN-Parkinson)
  • Cook - SR
  • RCP - SR
  • Rothenberg - SR
  • Sabato - SR
  • Silver - LKR

ME (OPEN-Baldacci)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnR

MD (O'Malley)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

MA (Patrick)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnD

MI (OPEN-Granholm)
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

NH (Lynch)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - LKD
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

NM (OPEN-Richardson)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

NY (OPEN-Paterson)
  • RCP - LKD
  • Sabato - LKD
  • Silver - LKD

OH (Strickland)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

OK (OPEN-Henry)
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - SR
  • Rothenberg - SR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

OR (OPEN-Kulongoski)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - TU

PA (OPEN-Rendell)
  • Cook - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

TN (OPEN-Bredesen)
  • Cook - SR
  • RCP - SR
  • Rothenberg - SR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

WI (OPEN-Doyle)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

WY (OPEN-Freudenthal)
  • Cook - SR
  • RCP - SR
  • Rothenberg - SR
  • Sabato - SR
  • Silver - LKR


REPUBLICAN SEATS:

U.S. SENATE (18):

  • Cook - 8
  • CQ - 8
  • RCP - 8
  • Rothenberg - 7
  • Sabato - 8
  • Silver - 11

Total Seats Listed: 11


AK (Murkowski)
  • Cook - LKR
  • CQ - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LnR

AZ (McCain)
  • Silver - LKR

FL (OPEN-LeMieux)
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

GA (Isakson)
  • Silver - LKR

IA (Grassley)
  • Silver - LKR

KY (OPEN-Bunning)
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

LA (Vitter)
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

MO (OPEN-Bond)
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

NH (OPEN-Gregg)
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

NC (Burr)
  • Cook - LKR
  • CQ - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

OH (OPEN-Voinovich)
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR


U.S. HOUSE (179):

  • Cook - 17
  • CQ - 9
  • RCP - 16
  • Rothenberg - 9
  • Sabato - 17
  • Silver - 22

Total Seats Listed: 22


AL-05 (Griffith) R+12
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

AZ-03 (OPEN-Shadegg) R+9
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

CA-03 (Lungren) R+6
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

CA-44 (Calvert) R+6
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

CA-45 (Bono-Mack) R+3
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

CA-50 (Bilbray) R+3
  • Silver - LKR

DE-AL (OPEN-Castle) D+7
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

FL-05 (OPEN-Brown-Waite) R+9
  • Silver - LKR

FL-12 (OPEN-Putnam) R+6
  • Cook - LKR
  • CQ - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

FL-25 (OPEN- Diaz-Balart) R+5
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

HI-01 (Djou) D+11
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnD

IL-10 (OPEN-Kirk) D+6
  • Cook - TU
  • CQ - TU
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

IN-03 (VACANT-Souder) R+14
  • Silver - LKR

LA-02 (Cao) D+25
  • Cook - LnD
  • CQ - LKD
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LKD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

MI-03 (OPEN-Ehlers) R+6
  • Cook - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

MI-11 (McCotter) EVEN
  • Silver - LKR

MN-06 (Bachmann) R+7
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

NE-02 (Terry) R+6
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

OH-12 (Tiberi) D+1
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

PA-06 (Gerlach) D+4
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

PA-15 (Dent) D+2
  • Cook - LnR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

WA-08 (Reichert) D+3
  • Cook - LKR
  • CQ - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - LKR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR


GOVERNORS (18):

  • Cook - 14
  • RCP - 12
  • Rothenberg - 10
  • Sabato - 15
  • Silver - 16

Total Seats Listed: 16


AL (OPEN-Riley)
  • Cook - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

AK (Parnell)
  • Silver - LKR

AZ (Brewer)
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Rothenberg - LnR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

CA (OPEN-Schwarzenegger)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LnD

CT (OPEN-Rell)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - LnD
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

FL (OPEN-Crist)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - TU

GA (OPEN-Perdue)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

HI (OPEN-Lingle)
  • Cook - LnD
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - LnD
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LKD

ID (Otter)
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

MN (OPEN-Pawlenty)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - LnD

NV (OPEN-Gibbons)
  • Cook - LKR
  • RCP - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

RI (OPEN-Carcieri)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnD
  • Silver - TU

SC (OPEN-Sanford)
  • Cook - LnR
  • RCP - LnR
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

SD (OPEN-Rounds)
  • Cook - LKR
  • Sabato - LKR
  • Silver - LKR

TX (Perry)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - LnR
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - LnR
  • Silver - LKR

VT (OPEN-Douglas)
  • Cook - TU
  • RCP - TU
  • Rothenberg - TU
  • Sabato - TU
  • Silver - LnD



For those that are interested, most of the material on the rest of this blog is quite dated. For the last couple of years, I have concentrated mostly on political satire and humorous photoshops at my other blog, America is an Obamanation!. I also proudly post occasionally at the humor blog IMAO. Thank you for visiting!

No comments: