Tuesday, November 02, 2004

The Pundits Weigh In

The following are some of the projections offered regarding the Presidential Election from many of the Internet's most popular resources:

Real Clear Politics:
National Polling Avg: Bush 48.9%, Kerry 47.4%, Nader 0.9%
Bush Job Approval at 49.5%
Electoral College: Bush 227, Kerry 203, Tossup 108

The Horserace Blog:
Results Based on Samples from Nine National Polling Firms:
Bush 49.02%, Kerry 46.69%, MOE +/-0.85%
Confidence of a Bush lead is 99.999%

Rasmussen Reports:
Bush 50.2%, Kerry 48.5%, Other 1.3%
Bush Job Approval at 52%
Electoral College: Bush 222, Kerry 186, Tossup 130

Campaigns and Elections Magazine Campaignline:
Kerry over Bush 50.1% chance
Electoral College: Kerry 242, Bush 227, Tossup 69

Daly Thoughts:
Bush 50.5%, Kerry 48.5%
Electoral College: Bush 280, Kerry 258

Coldhearted Truth:
Electoral College: Bush 296, Kerry 242

The Hedgehog Report:
Bush 50.0%, Kerry 48.9%, Nader 0.7%, Badnarik 0.4%
Electoral College: Bush 294, Kerry 244

Election Projection.com:
Bush 49.4%, Kerry 48.7%
Electoral College: Bush 289, Kerry 249

Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Electoral College: Bush 269, Kerry 269

President Elect.org:
Electoral College: Bush 286, Kerry 252

Slate Magazine's Election Scorecard:
Electoral College: Bush 269, Kerry 269

Electoral-Vote.com:
Electoral College: Kerry 281, Bush 257

Race 2004.net:*
Electoral College: Bush 296, Kerry 242
Or is it? Kerry 311, Bush 227

*Note: First figure is official prediction per website methodology, second is Site Manager's own personal pick.

Federal Review Composite Poll:
Bush 50.5%, 48.5%
Electoral College: Bush 296, Kerry 242

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